[新闻汇集]阳光灿烂的日子

april · Post by **april** » 2017-02-27 13:20

等待已久的GOP和川皇的分裂终于又有了进展，这次是关于要不要撤ACA.
A split has emerged among Trump’s top advisers. It could have major repercussions.

Pence和GOP要撤，Bannon这边不要。
GOP目的明显是一石两鸟，既杀掉ACA又把川皇的base搞垮。问题是如果川皇的base跨了，GOP也没好果子吃吧？！他们真的这么有信心自己重建一个川皇之后的base? 还是只是短视？
Bannon们不干。难道因为Pence上台肯定要把Bannon这帮人换掉？有趣。到底谁和谁一伙儿呢？慢慢见分晓吧。。。

Knowing · Post by **Knowing** » 2017-02-27 13:38

拭目以待！我倒希望撤了，看他们怎么办。
万没想到GWBush现在是有骨气的那部分人了

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/pos ... c983969350

april · Post by **april** » 2017-02-27 13:54

Knowing wrote: 万没想到GWBush现在是有骨气的那部分人了

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/pos ... c983969350

真是很意外！也很高兴看到GOP那边有人站出来说话。
同时也想到Jun说的，现在的大病是过去几十年一点点小病堆起来的。不知道小布什对他在911后对腐蚀三权分立，加大总统令的权力等等作何感想，是否后悔呢？

豪情 · Post by 豪情 » 2017-02-27 14:22

小布什一家选举前就表态了。川普出来他相比之下简直是decent 太多。

april · Post by **april** » 2017-02-27 16:51

川皇的支持者们的觉醒，每一个个例都是觉醒的开始吧？但愿。。。【敲敲木头】
This town backed Trump, then lost one of its own -- Carlos. You must hear their voices. The Daily with @mikiebarb

Jun · Post by **Jun** » 2017-02-27 16:51

现在联邦政府的移民与边境警察已经越来越象纳粹党卫军了，到处抓人，学校也不放过。目前计划加雇一万五千名边境警察，用来抓人与递解出境，还打算降低雇佣标准，流氓地痞 psychopaths 赶紧去应征。

Trump Administration Seeks to Loosen Hiring Requirements to Beef Up Border Patrol
https://www.yahoo.com/news/trump-admini ... 06350.html

这周末又有犹太人墓地被破坏了 --- 你猜是穆斯林干的还是白人基督教极端分子或种族主义分子干的？

这些事都渐渐成了常态。不知道华裔的超级良民还能扮多久。这还墙什么啊，墙里墙外有差别吗？

april · Post by **april** » 2017-02-27 16:59

Jun wrote:现在联邦政府的移民与边境警察已经越来越象纳粹党卫军了，到处抓人，学校也不放过。目前计划加雇一万五千名边境警察，用来抓人与递解出境，还打算降低雇佣标准，流氓地痞 psychopaths 赶紧去应征。

是的是的，地下反抗组织也开始了，居然从教堂开始。。。
Churches Are Readying Homes And Underground Railroads To Hide Immigrants From Deportation Under Trump

说道小布什一家，小布什夫妇两个还算是谨慎的，大选的时候留了空白谁都没填。川皇宣誓入职那天也去了。算是仁至义尽。
老布什一早就说要选希拉里。入职那天老布什也推脱身体不好不参加。（但是超级碗去投球他兴高采烈坐着轮椅去了，也是够可爱的。）

Knowing · Post by **Knowing** » 2017-02-28 2:24

好可惜，adam Purinton 只要耐心点再等两周，就可以名正言顺到处骚扰外国人,也不至于被酒吧扔出去气得杀人.

.上周三一架从三藩到纽约的飞机落地后被海关边控要求所有人出示证件.声称在找一个有多重犯罪记录驱逐令在身的乘客.没找到.
这篇文章看得我真寒心.大家必须读, Know your rights. 总结一下:
ICE/CBP 无证搜索的权力局限于任何寻求进入美国的人,和从国外进入美国的飞机火车船只等.
政府人员不能无故上前要求查看证件. 官员必须有法定权限进行搜索和合理怀疑被搜查者违反了法律.
检查证件在法律上是搜索.
这架飞机上的乘客并非来自外国,CBP找特定个人不能不分性别族裔年龄搜索所有乘客.

面对质问,CBP回答他们请乘客拿出证件是自愿的.
但是高庭1984年就曾判决,大部分公民会同意警察的要求.但是,如果没被告知他们有自由不同意,就不能算是自愿同意.
“while most citizens will respond to a police request, the fact that people do so, and do so without being told they are free not to respond, hardly eliminates the consensual nature of the response.

Papers, Please
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/ar ... source=twb

After days of research, I can find no legal authority for ICE or CBP to require passengers to show identification on an entirely domestic fight. The ICE authorizing statute, 8 U.S.C. § 1357, provides that agents can conduct warrantless searches of “any person seeking admission to the United States”—if, that is, the officer has “reasonable cause to suspect” that the individual searched may be deportable. CBP’s statute, 19 U.S.C. § 1467, grants search authority “whenever a vessel from a foreign port or place or from a port or place in any Territory or possession of the United States arrives at a port or place in the United States.” CBP regulations, set out at 19 C.F.R. § 162.6, allow agents to search “persons, baggage, and merchandise arriving in the Customs territory of the United States from places outside thereof.”

好消息是纽约时报电子版付费订阅去年最后三个月狂增二十七万

不知道华盛顿时报如何。虽然他们有JEFF BEZOS 的深口袋不愁经费，为了表示支持我还是订了一年电子版。

https://www.ft.com/content/7c6e25da-e96 ... 8452263daf

Jun · Post by **Jun** » 2017-02-28 7:59

这件事跟中国城管打人以及在Uber内部被性骚扰是同样性质的。ICE 和 CBP 搜查你的证件是违法的么？是违法的，但是如果你拒绝被他们当场铐了押下飞机小黑屋里关上一两天再放出来，你能当场抵抗么？事后再找律师去跟他们控诉，面对的是厚厚的官僚墙，具体到抓你关你的 agent，是不会受到真正的惩罚的。如果你没钱找律师呢？祈祷 ACLU 愿意免费接手你的 case 吧。法律不过是一张纸，如果国家机器里运作的都是流氓，一本宪法能抵挡住他们么？这就是权力展现啊。

我倒是窃以为他们可以多多进行国内的公开的搜查活动，让真~美国人，即白人，也体会一下美国黑人的体验。我又要祥林嫂一样地唠叨当年住在洛杉矶耳闻警察经常无故拦下黑人，要么是开了辆好点的车，要么是在中产阶级以上的住宅区出现（哪怕走路都会被盯上），要么是没有原因，如果对方略有不悦表情，或者只是块头大了一点，就铐起来搜身一把，让你在马路牙上坐半个钟头示众，他慢慢地搜你的车，如果搜不出什么再放你走人。你去找他们领导控诉或跟他们讲宪法权利？啊哈哈哈哈。小心随便找个借口把你打死。经常发生哦，一个黑人男性可以隔三差五地就被警察叔叔关注一下。

为什么都是耳闻极少目睹呢？因为我住的是华人移民聚居的穷住宅区，白人警察几乎从来不来巡逻。我是听药房的黑人同事说的，媒体亦时有报道，然而大家都习惯了。不过据说2000年之后LAPD被内部整顿了，现在已经好了很多，想要看白人警察滥用权力得去其他地方。

川普上台让我有种松口气的感觉，唠叨多年的 racism, racism，总觉得别人都看我像个傻子或者过度敏感，终于证实是真的了。

vivi · Post by **vivi** » 2017-02-28 9:04

ICE/CBP是专门找的比较变态的？还是特意训练成的？
还有啥川粉后悔的不是左派的wishful thinking吧。真要后悔要自身利益受到损害才行。

Jun · Post by **Jun** » 2017-02-28 9:11

这是从上面下来的命令，是真~美国人要求的。

介绍 Arizona 的当地警长 Joe Arpaio，因为好几年前就反墨西哥移民，推行当街拦人查证件的措施，而成为共和党/川粉里的著名人物：

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joe_Arpaio

Knowing · Post by **Knowing** » 2017-02-28 9:20

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arizona_SB_1070

Arizona 这个法律成为ABUSIVE RACIAL PROFILING 的样本被高庭否决. 为什么不应该让警察和移民局随便当街拦人查非法移民?这个为什么VOTER ID LAW 常常是阻碍穷人投票的工具?都是三言两语讲不清, 必须要有CONTEXT 才理解.

april · Post by **april** » 2017-02-28 14:30

Knowing wrote: 好消息是纽约时报电子版付费订阅去年最后三个月狂增二十七万不知道华盛顿时报如何。虽然他们有JEFF BEZOS 的深口袋不愁经费，为了表示支持我还是订了一年电子版。

https://www.ft.com/content/7c6e25da-e96 ... 8452263daf

华盛顿邮报好像也受益不小。今年开始增加记者名额了呢！
'Profitable' Washington Post adding more than five dozen journalists
我是看过Citizen Four后就赶紧去订了The Guardian. 大选后订了华盛顿邮报，上周又去订了纽约时报。希望人民的力量可以壮大自由媒体。。。

Elysees · Post by **Elysees** » 2017-02-28 14:35

昨天我们本地的不少JCC（犹太社区）收到威胁电话，离我们家最近的一个PA的JCC下午就关闭了，到晚上才发出消息来说all clear，据说PA警察立即到场搜索了。
然而还是有人心惶惶的后果。有点不知从何而起的感觉，Jewish在这边也成了target了？

dropby · Post by **dropby** » 2017-02-28 14:59

Elysees wrote:昨天我们本地的不少JCC（犹太社区）收到威胁电话，离我们家最近的一个PA的JCC下午就关闭了，到晚上才发出消息来说all clear，据说PA警察立即到场搜索了。
然而还是有人心惶惶的后果。有点不知从何而起的感觉，Jewish在这边也成了target了？

反穆斯林反墨必然导致反一切少数弱势群体啊。犹太人，华裔，印裔，女性都跑不了。

不是有人总结了：新社会存活率=健康x男性x白人x有钱x基督徒。

犹太人不符合基督徒这一条。

april · Post by **april** » 2017-02-28 17:51

这篇文章挺有意思的。2004年小布什连任的时候，共和党也挺自信从此民主党没有翻身之日了，结果两年后就开始沦陷。。。
Since 2008, nearly every state moved right in both presidential and state politics
原来美国的共和党从二战后就一直这么不受待见啊！

这两个数据点也很有意思

The only state between 2008 and 2014 in which people were less likely to identify as Republican? Alaska.

Two states, California and Arizona, grew more Democratic on both counts(总统选举和议院选举).

上面第二条，加州不意外，但是亚利桑那有点意外。

-----------
帅哥要回来战斗啦！期待。。。
Holder: Obama is 'ready to roll'

Knowing · Post by **Knowing** » 2017-03-01 11:03

http://mashable.com/2017/02/28/software ... estioning/
一个码工在JFK入境被拦下来，要他写代码查二叉树是否平衡，然后被告知写的不对！

helenClaire · Post by **helenClaire** » 2017-03-01 12:13

Elysees wrote:昨天我们本地的不少JCC（犹太社区）收到威胁电话，离我们家最近的一个PA的JCC下午就关闭了，到晚上才发出消息来说all clear，据说PA警察立即到场搜索了。
然而还是有人心惶惶的后果。有点不知从何而起的感觉，Jewish在这边也成了target了？

JCC收到大量炸弹威胁，从川普就任起，已经有好几波了。这星期费城一处犹太墓地也被损毁，真恶心。我有时会在推上查看一下Anne Frank Center (US)的账号说了点啥，它的主任非常直言不讳，冲在前面抓着反犹话题不放，要道歉，要公开谴责，要具体解决办法，要有关所有的仇恨犯罪的解决办法。挺好的！全世界犹太人口的三分之一住在美国，经历过二战大屠杀的刻骨铭心，他们能不警惕么。

其实穆斯林禁令的真实目的不是针对穆斯林per se，是从最弱的，最被污名化的群体下手，提高恐惧水平,所谓“杀威”。小美说得对，一旦被他们得手，最后弱势小群体一个都跑不了。

笑嘻嘻 · Post by **笑嘻嘻** » 2017-03-01 12:17

本来这一切禁令，激进言论就不是为了反恐。就是为了保持欧洲出身的白人的人口比例。

Knowing · Post by **Knowing** » 2017-03-01 12:29

等他们把穆斯林亚洲人墨西哥人犹太人都整死了，就该轮到爱尔兰裔意大利裔的天主教徒……下一步是只剩中西部的路德教徒和东部的Wasp 死拼。最后只剩五月花那船人的直系后裔...

helenClaire · Post by **helenClaire** » 2017-03-01 12:39

Knowing wrote:等他们把穆斯林亚洲人墨西哥人犹太人都整死了，就该轮到爱尔兰裔意大利裔的天主教徒……下一步是只剩中西部的路德教徒和东部的Wasp 死拼。最后只剩五月花那船人的直系后裔...

然后就是土著印第安人大反击！把五月花赶下海。

历史倒退车轮滚滚，不能停啊！

april · Post by **april** » 2017-03-01 13:56

David Frum在大西洋报上的长文翻成中文了。不耐烦读英文的同学可以看看。我觉得写的挺好的。开头非常压抑悲观，但是捱过去后面还是值得读的。我当时读完的感觉是连死硬保守派都反川了，希望没有完全熄灭。。。
美国：通往独裁之路- 现在万事俱备，这份攻略可供唐纳德·特朗普引领美国走上反自由主义之路

vivi · Post by **vivi** » 2017-03-01 15:45

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCMtFAi ... SE9XoHefig

他有时真是熬不住啊

这俩真是好基友

april · Post by **april** » 2017-03-01 16:47

vivi wrote:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCMtFAi ... SE9XoHefig

他有时真是熬不住啊这俩真是好基友

哈哈哈！Jon Stewart说的特别到位，尤其是这节目播完第二天CNN的Pundits就恨不得跪舔川皇。CNN被大家瞧不起真是不冤枉他们。

“I heard Donald Trump broke up with you,” he said, addressing the press directly. “Stings a little, doesn’t it? Finally thought you’d met your match—a blabbermouth who’s as thin-skinned and narcissistic as you are. Well good riddance, I say. Kick him to the curb.” Stewart even offered some specific advice for how reporters can get their groove back, too: For one thing, stop obsessing 24/7 over this one asshole. Make a little time to work on yourself. And take up a hobby, advised Stewart. “I recommend journalism.”

昨晚Colbert一句句分析讽刺川皇演讲也特别好。
Stephen Colbert annotated Trump’s speech — and destroyed Kellyanne Conway in the process

april · Post by **april** » 2017-03-02 2:47

激动！阳光！帅哥有戏份！

链接在这。

Knowing · Post by **Knowing** » 2017-03-02 3:05

赞，必需把这调查搞大，trump 这批人这么不谨慎，肯定会有各种妨碍司法公正的行为陆续出现。

唐唐的郁金香 · Post by **唐唐的郁金香** » 2017-03-02 4:26

http://www.slate.com/articles/health_an ... ident.html

When an emergency doctor tells his patients Trump is the president of USA:

One elderly woman let out a startling moan, the kind of sound I would have expected if someone had told her that her cat had died. Another blinked twice when I told him. “Really?” he said, in disbelief. “Come on, doc, you’re shaking my leg.” One patient accused me of playing a trick, although I have not yet been accused of bringing fake news.

Jun · Post by **Jun** » 2017-03-02 8:19

川普任命的，被参议院听证通过的，已经上任的司法部部长 Jeff Sessions，前共和党参议员代表阿拉巴马州，超级大右派（反对一切与白男/基督教分享平等权利），被华盛顿邮报爆出在川普竞选时期与俄国大使接触，且在参议院听证会中隐瞒此事。

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/na ... story.html

自从里根上台之后，共和党政客们就一直在吹嘘自己最爱国，最最最爱国，民主党自由派都是卖国的，至少无力保护美国，天天挥舞着国旗扯着嗓子拍着胸脯。群众照单全收，一见R符号必感到一阵放心。我一直都疑心是利用爱国口号替自己捞一把，现在（跟很多其他被挥舞的大旗一样）又得到了证实，而且支持共和党人民的真实心理 --- 不是他们反复背诵的 Fox News 教给他们的托词 --- 也得到了证实。在自身利益面前，什么爱国什么宪法什么自由都是口号耳。

vivi · Post by **vivi** » 2017-03-02 10:50

有人说 the only things Trump makes great again is SNL and investigative journalism!

april · Post by **april** » 2017-03-02 11:25

Jun wrote:川普任命的，被参议院听证通过的，已经上任的司法部部长 Jeff Sessions，前共和党参议员代表阿拉巴马州，超级大右派（反对一切与白男/基督教分享平等权利）

参议会听证前 Liz Warren 被迫闭嘴 nevertheless she persisted, 事件也是因为这个大坏蛋。而 Warren 的罪名是她想读一封马丁路德金遗孀 Coretta Scott King1986年写的反对这个坏人的联邦法官提名的信。

被华盛顿邮报爆出在川普竞选时期与俄国大使接触，且在参议院听证会中隐瞒此事

特别此地无银三百两的是听证的时候 Franken 问的问题本来和他无关。他主动表示自己跟俄国没联系! “sessions decided to perjury himself just in case." 普金要被这些猪队友给气死了。

自从里根上台之后，共和党政客们就一直在吹嘘自己最爱国，最最最爱国，民主党自由派都是卖国的，至少无力保护美国，天天挥舞着国旗扯着嗓子拍着胸脯。群众照单全收，一见R符号必感到一阵放心。我一直都疑心是利用爱国口号替自己捞一把，现在（跟很多其他被挥舞的大旗一样）又得到了证实，而且支持共和党人民的真实心理 --- 不是他们反复背诵的 Fox News 教给他们的托词 --- 也得到了证实。在自身利益面前，什么爱国什么宪法什么自由都是口号耳。

Let them demonstrate “party over country” IN PUBLIC.

Lock. Them. Up.

笑嘻嘻 · Post by **笑嘻嘻** » 2017-03-02 11:35

支持共和党的人民是啥心理？这场白宫大戏太超现实主义了，比Jun最爱看的Sandal 狗血粗暴多了

Elysees · Post by **Elysees** » 2017-03-02 14:08

vivi wrote:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCMtFAi ... SE9XoHefig

他有时真是熬不住啊这俩真是好基友

这个我也看了，笑之余觉得也挺苦涩。我这人一像对政治是不敏感，看到现在这种人心惶惶的状态，有点不知今夕何夕。我那同事现在决定不去加拿大出差了，因为我们HR建议他不要出行，我还是要去，就算这次不去加拿大五月也要回国的。我要被拦了，就到班级群里去好好问问那几个当初投川皇的人们，这是不是她们梦想中的安全美国。
据说旧金山作为包藏最多非法移民的城市，最近被移民局搜查了。

现在连科学界都有一夜回到解放前的感觉。本期NG前言专门address了气候变化，或许有关或许无关，最近各种反气候变化的言论又喧嚣起来，一下回到我大学毕业的年代，那时候的课题还偶尔有争论气候变化是否存在，这些年本来都settle了，一下又卷土重来。

Jun · Post by **Jun** » 2017-03-02 14:09

Scandal 最爱看倒不至于，尤其是现在女主与总统不搞恋爱了就意思不大了。

关于 Jeff Sessions，其实他听证会的时候可以承认，我就是跟俄国大使见面了，你能拿我怎么办？俄国驻美大使跟美方官员见面并不是什么可耻的事情。然而如此遮遮掩掩就 ... 再加上同时发生的一系列事件就 ... 说白了没什么神秘的，肯定是你帮我搞掉希拉里，我上台之后保你没事，制裁取消。只是这些人也太明目张胆了一些，连黑帮老大（例如巴尔的摩的 Avon Barksdale

）都知道办事不能亲手上阵。只能说这届领导不行。

说起 Jeff Sessions 为什么之前就名气特别大，好奇的可以看看维基上列出的事迹：
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeff_Sessions
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/tru ... 512f80c0c2

就是特典型的美国极端保守派，南方保守派领导人的立场集于一身。

---------------------------

看到小E提起的气候变暖，我觉得特神奇的是不知为啥科学与自由派政治会混到一起去了，也不见得是因为科学与宗教对立，而宗教原旨派自然亲近保守派政治 --- 连现任教皇都讲 climate change 人人有责了。气候是不是变暖，数据都摆在那里，就算不看数据，今年 DC 根本没有冬天发生，樱花提早近一个月就开了，这得瞎到什么程度才能假装没看见？地球环境变化，它又不以个人意志为转移，不信就不会受到影响么？也许等到大洪水爆发时，基督教原旨主义者都能登上上帝发下来的诺亚方舟，所以他们不担心。

（声明：我一点都不反对宗教，而且不认为科学与宗教是对立或者不相容的，信教本身不是坏事，跟其他人类行为一样都有两面性而已。只是原旨主义极端派真的很可怕，任何主义都可能走向极端，不限于但包含宗教。）

futurehope14 · Post by **futurehope14** » 2017-03-02 18:51

“BREAKING: Vice President Pence used private email for state business while Indiana governor and was hacked - Indianapolis Star”

https://twitter.com/ReutersUS/status/837461705181564929

媒体记者们一定要注意身体啊。天天都有大新闻。

helenClaire · Post by **helenClaire** » 2017-03-03 19:34

"This means : subpoena arrived."

我觉得媒体爆料的发力点和技巧掌握得特别好。也说明他们手头已有的料比已经爆出来的多不少,才能预见性地利用。

看到这帮人记忆力突然好起来,开始想起来都见过谁了,真是笑死。他们大概好多天没睡好觉了。

Jun · Post by **Jun** » 2017-03-04 9:28

川皇这两天貌似认定 Obama 才是最近一系列白宫丑闻的幕后黑手，今天在推上大骂 Obama 在选举期间秘密监控自己。

去查了一下，原来是 Breitbart 在宣传阴谋论。随手查一下:

Right-Wing Media Latch On To “Shadow Government” Conspiracy To Absolve Trump From Russia Controversy
https://mediamatters.org/research/2017/ ... rsy/215555

右派群众整天就被喂这种东西。以前是 fringe，现在是主流。Karl Rove 和 Dick Cheney 没少利用造谣机器，但是他们至少心里很清楚，自己是不信的。现在这帮人可就难说了。

关于 FBI 调查川普与俄国的关系的旧闻，作者 Alexandra Erin 在推上解释了来龙去脉：
https://twitter.com/alexandraerin

川普有被调查么？当然有，因为他确实跟俄国有关系，这是牵涉到国家机密的大事，当时是被法院批准的合法调查，虽然 James Comey 并没有在选举前宣扬出来。而且这件事他们早就知道了，新闻媒体也早就报道过了，现在又翻出来炒作。

想象一下自从川皇进驻白宫以后，有多少情报已经倾倒给普京爸爸了 ... 现在还勃然大怒 FBI 调查自己，这脸有多大 ...

Do we want to talk about Russia? Here's a New Yorker analysis of current US-Russian relations:

Trump, Putin, and the New Cold War
by Evan Osnos, David Remnick, and Joshua Yaffa （都是纽约客的主力）
http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2017/ ... w-cold-war

For nearly two decades, U.S.-Russian relations have ranged between strained and miserable. Although the two countries have come to agreements on various issues, including trade and arms control, the general picture is grim. Many Russian and American policy experts no longer hesitate to use phrases like “the second Cold War.”

The level of tension has alarmed experienced hands on both sides. “What we have is a situation in which the strong leader of a relatively weak state is acting in opposition to weak leaders of relatively strong states,” General Sir Richard Shirreff, the former Deputy Supreme Allied Commander of nato, said. “And that strong leader is Putin. He is calling the shots at the moment.” Shirreff observes that nato’s withdrawal of military forces from Europe has been answered with incidents of Russian aggression, and with a sizable buildup of forces in the vicinity of the Baltic states, including an aircraft-carrier group dispatched to the North Sea, an expanded deployment of nuclear-capable Iskander-M ballistic missiles, and anti-ship missiles. The Kremlin, for its part, views the expansion of nato to Russia’s borders as itself a provocation, and points to such U.S. measures as the placement of a new ground-based missile-defense system in Deveselu, Romania.

这篇报道对于 Obama 的外交政策的批评相当不客气。I agree with that. Obama 的国内政绩，尤其是经济政绩，远远超过在外交上一个又一个 blunder。可能因为 Obama 的政治经验不够，也可能因为代沟而错过了最复杂危险的冷战时期，总之很多错误。

But many Western Europeans do fear that the West and its postwar alliances and institutions are endangered, and that Trump, who has expressed doubts about nato and showed allegiance to Brexit and similar anti-European movements, cannot be counted on. Although both Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and Defense Secretary James Mattis have expressed support for traditional alliances, Trump remains entirely uncritical of Putin. “Trump changes the situation from a nato perspective,” General Shirreff said. “The great fear is the neutering of nato and the decoupling of America from European security. If that happens, it gives Putin all kinds of opportunities. If Trump steps back the way he seemed to as a candidate, you might not even need to do things like invade the Baltic states. You can just dominate them anyway. You’re beginning to see the collapse of institutions built to insure our security. And if that happens you will see the re-nationalizing of Europe as a whole.”

An even graver scenario, Talbott said, would be an “unravelling,” in which we revert to “a dog-eat-dog world with constant instability and conflict even if it doesn’t go nuclear. But, with the proliferation of nuclear powers, it is easy to see it going that way, too.”

april · Post by **april** » 2017-03-04 12:59

Jun wrote: 关于 FBI 调查川普与俄国的关系的旧闻，作者 Alexandra Erin 在推上解释了来龙去脉：
https://twitter.com/alexandraerin

川普有被调查么？当然有，因为他确实跟俄国有关系，这是牵涉到国家机密的大事，当时是被法院批准的合法调查，虽然 James Comey 并没有在选举前宣扬出来。而且这件事他们早就知道了，新闻媒体也早就报道过了，现在又翻出来炒作。

FISA Warrant这件事最早是大选前一天媒体报道的。msnbc好像也转了。但是当时大家都没空细想。后来一月份入职前Christopher Steele 的川皇／普金dossier再冒出来时，又被报了一次，大家忙着google golden shower又没有细想。之后川皇大权在握还信誓旦旦要保卫FISA。。。不是不报，时候未到啊！justin hendrix的系列推链接

回帖里有一个小细节很有意思

然后帅哥发言人刚刚发了一个statement，措辞严谨。即撇清了帅哥也没有否定FISA的存在。还顺便刺了一下上周现任白宫Priebus私下联系（干涉）FBI的违法行为。。。

说到Christopher Steele (前MI6间谍）他的dossier我上周末从buzzfeed上面翻出来看了一遍。很好看啊！堪比任何John le Carré小说！很多细节。怪不得FBI要传讯Steele. 不过Steele说抱歉太不安全，不能去美国。Dossier里面只有35页，看页数编码，至少有150+页，所以还有很多没交出来呢。。。

这段的黑体字看得我狂笑，普金早就知道这是一群猪队友了！这两天Cater Page各个cable news上去大嘴巴，做出一副欲说还休的样子，推特上众人都看傻了。有人分析说Page这是在绝望中做给FBI看得，等不及要FBI去传讯他好bargain for a deal和保护. 心里怕死普金会让他“心脏病发作”了！

Speaking in late August 2016, in the immediate aftermath of Paul resignation as campaign manager for US Republican presidential candidate Donald TRUMP, a well-placed Russian figure reported on a recent meeting between President PUTIN and ex-President YANUKOVYCH of Ukraine. This had been held in secret on 15 August near Volgograd, Russia and the western media revelations about MANAFORT and Ukraine had featured prominently on the agenda. YANUKOVYCH had
confided in PUTIN that he did authorise and order substantial kick-back payments to MANAFORT as alleged but sought to reassure him that there was no documentary trail left behind which could provide clear evidence of this.

Given (unimpressive) record in covering up his own corrupt tracks in the past, PUTIN and others in the Russian leadership were sceptical about the ex-Ukrainian president?s reassurances on this as relating to MANAFORT. They therefore still feared the scandal had legs, especially as MANAFORT had been commercially active in Ukraine right up to the time (in March 2016) when he joined campaign team. For them it therefore remained a point of potential political vulnerability and embarrassment.

Jun · Post by **Jun** » 2017-03-04 13:26

^^^ FBI 调查川普团队和俄国关联的事情已经闹了好长时间，民主党议员隔三差五地要求 FBI 把材料放出来给大家看。实际上他们开始 wiretap 的时候已经晚了，希望从十月到一月这段时间里还是有一些料被捕到了。

--------------

白宫提出的联邦政府预算，计划除掉大量环境保护监管活动，美其名曰 "job creation"。

http://www.freep.com/story/news/local/m ... /98659286/

治理五大湖的 Great Lakes restoration initiatives 的预算从三亿美元被砍到一千万，等于没有。其他环境保护预算，如保护 San Francisco Bay, Chesapeake Bay，Puget Sound 等等也被砍掉。

https://twitter.com/robwdavis/status/83 ... 60/photo/1

这是典型的茶党 libertarian 理念（喊 "starve the government" 已经喊了快十年），而不是共和党 establishment 的理念。当年环境保护法还是尼克松总统签字的。Flint, Michigan 的自来水大污染不传遍全国就不罢休。

tiffany · Post by **tiffany** » 2017-03-05 12:59

其实 trump 那种发疯 twitter，有人指出来是 methods to the crazy。这么一搞，大家被转移注意力，俄罗斯的事情反而不是重点了。就应该有人大力的专一的专门的贡献精力体力专门搞这个俄罗斯联系。

april · Post by **april** » 2017-03-05 13:51

tiffany wrote:其实 trump 那种发疯 twitter，有人指出来是 methods to the crazy。这么一搞，大家被转移注意力，俄罗斯的事情反而不是重点了。就应该有人大力的专一的专门的贡献精力体力专门搞这个俄罗斯联系。

所以民主党一直要求有Independent Investigation（A special Prosecutor?下面文章里的第四条渠道？). 大家怀疑在上周Sessions 不得不避嫌之前他一直不许FBI（下面文章里第三条渠道）继续调查俄国川普这条线。现在应该可以有动作了？尤其是众议院的Intel Committee也开动了？所以白宫才收到了subpoena.

这篇文章是Sessions避嫌之前写的，不知道现在再回来看第四条可能性是不是大一些。。。
Your cheat sheet to four potential investigations of Russia and President Trump

1) Various investigations by congressional committees
Potential pros of this kind of investigation: It can begin right away.
Potential cons: It could be viewed by the public as partisan, since Republicans control both chambers of Congress and thus hold a majority in every committee that's investigating Russia.
Likelihood of this kind of investigation happening: It's very likely that Russia and Trump will be investigated in Congress in some form, although Republicans are divided about how seriously to take the allegations that Trump's associates had contact with Russia.

2) A special congressional committee

Potential pros: This kind of investigation is usually more thorough, because unlike other committees in Congress, it has only one issue to focus on. It also can be perceived as less partisan than the regular committee process, especially if Congress agrees to put an even number of Republicans and Democrats on it.
Potential cons: Most Republicans, including leaders, don't seem to have any desire to set up a high-profile, time-consuming committee to investigate the issue.
Another con: This type of investigation could take years to get started and even longer to complete.

3) The Justice Department expands its investigation
Potential pros: It's lawyers, not Congress, (read: lawyers-turned-politicians) doing the investigating.
Potential cons: It's largely being done behind closed doors and thus, it's not really clear what, specifically, the FBI is investigating.

4) A special prosecutor
The most famous special prosecutor in recent history is Kenneth Starr, a lawyer who was chosen to investigate President Bill Clinton's real estate investments and eventually wound up uncovering the president's affair with a White House intern.
Potential pros: It's the most independent kind of investigation the government can have, because the government is not doing the investigating.
Potential cons: It can turn into a political spectacle in its own right — or uncover unexpected things.
Another con: Sessions could be the person to appoint the special prosecutor, which would for some critics lead us right back to the conflict-of-interest question haunting the existing investigations.
Likelihood of this happening: Slim, but not impossible. Even the White House isn't ruling out a special prosecutor to look into Russian meddling in the election, although a spokeswoman said Sunday that it's premature to say whether that's necessary. Sessions told NBC News he'd consider it: ""I have said whenever it's appropriate, I will recuse myself. There's no doubt about that."

各大报纸的Investigative reporting（纽约客，华盛顿邮报，纽约时报）都没停，但是他们能收集到得信息有限。记得邮报主编（Spotlight里面boston Globe那个Martin Baron)前一阵在川普说Media is at war时，就回应说，no, we are at work.

这周的NPR On the Media值得听。立法院不肯制约总统这一支，司法这边不光有联邦法庭，还有州的AG们！川皇生意所在地比方纽约州可以上告他们犯联邦法，受贿什么的。胜不胜诉是一回事，但是诉讼过程中可以subpoena川皇的税表！！
然后就又看到这篇"Revolt of the attorneys general"讲奥巴马任职期间，共和党就是利用州的AG联合阻碍Obamacare的实施，同样的手段现在民主党也开始用，比方这次的七国移民总统令。。。接下来的"The E.P.A. will also begin legal proceedings to revoke a waiver for California that was allowing the state to enforce the tougher tailpipe standards for its drivers.", 都可以看到蓝州的AG跟川皇上法庭较量。。。

last but not the least , Ten More Questions for President Trump

10. If so, have you or your counsel considered the question of whether a tweet from the @realDonaldTrump Twitter account that contains a slander or a libel is an official presidential act for which you are immune from liability under Nixon v. Fitzgerald or whether it is personal conduct for which you might be subject to suit under Clinton v. Jones?

这里说的Clinton v. Jones的案子很有意思。本来总统有非常广阔的豁免权。但是为了整治克林顿，共和党们搞了这个clinton v. jones的案子并且得到高庭的支持，结果就是高庭裁决总统任职期间，在与总统工作无关的情况下，犯了案子人民可以告他！所以因为@realDonaldTrump这个推特账号可以被认为是川皇在总统职位之外的私人账户。奥巴马谢任后把@POTUS那个帐号也转交给川皇了。但川皇从来不用，从那个账户发的推都是川皇手下发的。
当然按照奥巴马的性情，不太可能去告川皇。但是至少是一个可能使用的武器，现在不用可以备着。推上有人分析说就算告不赢，光是pre-trail discovery就够川皇喝一壶的，因为同上面的州AG告川普生意的例子（比方Trump Tower)，一旦立案就可以subpoena川皇的税表什么的。。。

Knowing · Post by **Knowing** » 2017-03-05 15:20

取消环保的那些举动显然是跟koch 兄弟这些传统矿业工业大亨做的买卖。
川普的税收到现在还没被爆真的满奇怪的。按说这不是什么秘密文件，见过的人太多了。

Knowing · Post by **Knowing** » 2017-03-06 2:32

New travel ban is coming
http://chicago.suntimes.com/news/trump- ... order/amp/

Jun · Post by **Jun** » 2017-03-06 8:29

这个 H1B expedited visa 暂停跟中国印度技术劳工有关吗？

US suspends expedited processing of H-1B visas
http://www.cnn.com/2017/03/04/us/h1b-vi ... suspended/

Knowing · Post by **Knowing** » 2017-03-06 14:57

这只是暂停加急办理工签，并不是停办。

蒙特利尔的印度裔姑娘，二代加拿大公民，高高兴兴跟女友一起去做Vermont SPA 一日游，在边境被拦下来了，扣留了六个钟头后让她回加拿大去，再来美国需要签证。她还买了票月底去迈阿密参加音乐节，五月份在那里搞告别单身派对，这下想到去美国就做噩梦。

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/ ... -1.4011202

april · Post by **april** » 2017-03-06 15:10

Gold Star father Khizr Khan's travel privileges are reportedly under review,不敢出国去加拿大演讲。

又一个出差的印度人被打死，在南卡。NRI businessman Harnish Patel from Vadodara shot dead in South Carolina

周五一个西雅图（！！！）郊外的sikh在自家driveway被枪击，还好只是胳膊受伤。https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/pos ... c7f97dad88

Jun · Post by **Jun** » 2017-03-06 15:28

This Florida incident is irrelevant to the subject but somehow feels like it's appropriate to our situation ---

http://jacksonville.com/news/metro/publ ... s-shootout

2 killed in St. Johns shootout
By Teresa Stepzinski

Two men died in a shootout Saturday morning during an argument outside a St. Augustine convenience store.

Sheriff’s Office detectives learned that the men had been involved in a “digital communication” argument and agreed to meet at the store. Once face-to-face, the two men got into a verbal argument, which led to them each brandishing guns and shooting at each other. The gunfire erupted as uninvolved people entered and exited the store, Mulligan said.

Knowing · Post by **Knowing** » 2017-03-06 15:39

为什么是印度人那么倒霉？是因为他们人数多（基数大）又棕皮肤么？我觉得他们跟中东人长得差的挺远的啊。

april · Post by **april** » 2017-03-06 15:44

Knowing wrote:为什么是印度人那么倒霉？是因为他们人数多（基数大）又棕皮肤么？我觉得他们跟中东人长得差的挺远的啊。

我也纳闷儿。唯一想到的是中东人的人数终究还是太少，而且可能大多在城市里面？印度人数众多，而且遍布很多红州红县红村？或者就是中东人其实跟白人很像，印度人比较醒目的黑皮肤让他们倒霉了。也就是说纳粹们其实根本搞不清中东人长啥样。
西雅图郊外那个太让人震惊了。

dropby · Post by **dropby** » 2017-03-06 15:58

Knowing wrote:这只是暂停加急办理工签，并不是停办。

蒙特利尔的印度裔姑娘，二代加拿大公民，高高兴兴跟女友一起去做Vermont SPA 一日游，在边境被拦下来了，扣留了六个钟头后让她回加拿大去，再来美国需要签证。她还买了票月底去迈阿密参加音乐节，五月份在那里搞告别单身派对，这下想到去美国就做噩梦。

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/ ... -1.4011202

好可怕。我还是没事儿不要去美国了。我经常在美国买东西，然后过境去取。以后还是不要再贪这种便宜了。

刚想起来我还有两盒pokemon卡片等着去取呢。

dropby · Post by **dropby** » 2017-03-06 15:59

本来还打算什么时候再去夏威夷呢。我还是去墨西哥或者古巴算了。